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Latest Update 12-11-2006
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A real estate bubble or property bubble (or housing bubble for residential markets) is a type of economic bubble that occurs periodically in local or global real estate markets. It is characterized by rapid speculative increases in the valuations of real property such as housing until they reach unsustainable levels relative to incomes and other economic elements, followed by decreases (also known as a house price crash or a market correction) that can result in many owners holding negative equity (a mortgage debt higher than the value of the property). Just like any type of economic bubble, it is difficult for many to identify except in hindsight, after the crash.
The United States housing bubble is the actual or hypothesized economic bubble in many parts of the U.S. housing market since 2001, especially in populous areas such as California, Florida, the BosWash megalopolis, and the southwest markets. A real estate bubble is a type of economic bubble that occurs periodically in local or global real estate markets. Based upon the unprecedented rise in house prices since 2001, many economists believe that there is a housing bubble in these and other parts of the U.S. caused by historically low interest rates and a mania for purchasing houses; they argue that this bubble is related to the stock market or dot-com bubble of the 1990s. Other economists argue that recent price increases can be explained by limited supply and increased demand due to immigration and demographic forces.
A housing bubble is characterized by rapid increases in the valuations of real property such as housing until unsustainable levels are reached relative to incomes, price-to-rent ratios, and other economic indicators of affordability. This in turn is followed by decreases in home prices that can result in many owners holding negative equity, a mortgage debt higher than the value of the property. Bubbles may only be definitively identified in hindsight, after a market correction.[2] The impact of booming home valuations on the U.S. economy since the 20012002 recession is an important factor in the recovery because a large component of consumer spending came from the related refinancing boom, which simultaneously allowed people to reduce their monthly mortgage payments with lower interest rates and withdraw equity from their homes as values increased.[3] As the once-booming U.S. housing market softened in 20052006, economists debated whether this is a 'soft' or 'hard' landing and the impact this slowing will have on consumer confidence and on the overall economy.
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12-11-2006
- Santa Clara County, California median housing price update (www.viewfromsiliconvalley.com)
- San Mateo County, California median housing price update (www.viewfromsiliconvalley.com)
- Santa Cruz County, California median housing price update (www.viewfromsiliconvalley.com)
- The median price of a San Fernando Valley house had to fall. Last month it finally did, by just less than 1 percent. (www.dailynews.com)
- Locked In, No Exit in Sight -- Many Rueful Buyers Try to Escape Builders' Ironclad Contracts (www.washingtonpost.com)
- It's not the bells and whistles but the price that draws in home buyers (www.suburbanchicagonews.com)
- With the housing boom over, its dark side is coming to light, including fraud. Government data show more criminals and more consumers lied to sell or buy expensive homes. (www.ocregister.com)
- Sales of single-family homes fell by 22.1 percent - to 183 last month, which amounts to the lowest number of November resales since 1999, according to the monthly report issued Friday by the Southland Regional Association of Realtors. (www.dailynews.com)
- Fort myers high-rises: Buyers, experts split on market's future (www.news-press.com)
- CMG Financial chief copes with housing woes (www.contracostatimes.com)
- Torn between two markets -- feeling like a fool (www.sfgate.com)
- As Miles Development finishes one project and fleshes out another, its principals are adapting to St. Petersburg's changing market as they prepare other developments. (www.sptimes.com)
- Home builders offer discounts, vacations to year-end buyers (www.nctimes.com)
- The real estate market is a complex beast, one only dimly understood by the mere mortals among us. Thank God we have real estate professionals. Unlike, say, journalists, Realtors undergo hours of rigorous training. They even have to pass a test. So they're a lot like doctors, maybe even priests. (www.washingtonpost.com)
- A massive drop in the number of permits for Southwest Florida home builders is providing the most disturbing evidence yet that Florida's all-important housing industry will face tough times in the year ahead. (www.heraldtribune.com)
- Sellers don't need to sell and buyers don't need to buy, leaving this vacation market treading water while housing prices settle (www.boston.com)
- US housing market is different this time - it's worse (www.moneyweek.com)
- Think you can get out of buying a condominium by walking away from your deal? Better think again. (www.palmbeachpost.com)
- Housing affordability at 24 percent for first-time buyers in California (www.car.org)
- The Dangers of Frankenstein Financing! (www.moneyandmarkets.com)
- Brooklyn developer solidly entrenched in the testosterone-dominated real estate world is having a hard time making sense of the streams of women passing through his sales office at 110 Livingston Street in downtown Brooklyn. (www.nytimes.com)
- Zillow is for sales, not just snooping -- The much-hyped website, which provides home values, now allows sellers to post listings. (www.latimes.com)
12-5-2006
- Santa Clara County, CA Median Sales Prices (www.viewfromsiliconvalley.com)
- San Mateo County, CA Median Sales Prices (www.viewfromsiliconvalley.com)
- Santa Cruz County, CA Median Sales Prices (www.viewfromsiliconvalley.com)
- Half-acre parcels selling for as much as $600,000 on Loon Mountain in Lincoln are posted with the names of owners who hail from Belmont, Hingham, Stoneham and a half-dozen other towns within a 35-mile radius of Boston. (www.concordmonitor.com)
- Graphical Projection of the Real Estate Market Price Correction (patrick.net)
- http://www.naplesnews.com/news/2006/dec/04/furniture_businesses_getting_new_look/?local_news (www.naplesnews.com)
- Block's Blemish -- Foreclosures, abandonments create suburban eyesores (www.pe.com)
- Pending home sales fell 1.7% in Oct., stabilization seen (www.marketwatch.com)
- Property-tax jolt leaves many recent home buyers in a bind (www.sun-sentinel.com)
- The problem isn't confined to urban areas families in well-off communities are finding that a risky mortgage and some bad luck can put a home at risk. (www.twincities.com)
- Headlines around the country are portraying the housing market as 'gloomy,' 'hopeless' and, for those non-sensationalists, 'slow.' But a different phenomenon is taking place in Kingman. (www.kingmandailyminer.com)
- Ask any real estate agent worth her lockbox key to identify the No. 1 reason houses sit on the market. Her likely answer: The sellers want too much for them. (www.sfgate.com)
- Oahu home prices post first drop since late 1990s -- The median price in November was 4.8 percent below the same month in 2005 (www.starbulletin.com)
- Trump RPV home sales in a slump? Real estate records show only one of first 36 luxury houses being built has sold, but official says more are pending. (www.dailybreeze.com)
- I was disappointed with the partiality of The Gazette's Nov. 20 article about the Billings housing market. The article essentially said, 'House prices still rising and Realtors think they'll go up forever.' I expected much more factual support and critical analysis than that. (www.billingsgazette.net)
- Contracts to buy previously owned homes in the U.S. fell more than expected in October, suggesting the housing market has yet to hit bottom. (www.bloomberg.com)
- With a cooling housing market entering ttience and timing may be the key words that bring buyers and sellers together on the South Shore. (www.tahoedailytribune.com)
- Housing markets generally remain on the decline, prices are falling in some areas, new home construction is weak, the mortgage market is mixed and only a few areas show strong demand for owner-occupied housing, according to a federal report on a dozen U.S. regions. (www.realtytimes.com)
- MLS Shares More Listings Online; Federal Trade Commission Says Group Can't Exclude Lower-Commission Homes (www.blackenterprise.com)
- New leader, big challenge -- Fresno Realtors president faces slowdown in housing sales. (www.fresnobee.com)
- U.S. home prices fell again in October, and economists forecast continued declines in real estate values. (www.accountingweb.com)
- With condominium sales dropping, the real estate industry is bracing for condo-hotel buyers to run for an obscure escape hatch. Known as rescission lawsuits, they allow buyers to receive full refunds for their units -- provided they can prove developers sold the real estate as an investment, rather than as a vacation home. (www.miami.com)
11-29-2006
- Santa Clara County, California Median Sales Prices (www.viewfromsiliconvalley.com)
- San Mateo County, California Median Sales Prices (www.viewfromsiliconvalley.com)
- Santa Cruz County, California Median Sales Prices (www.viewfromsiliconvalley.com)
- Home sales decreased 28.7 percent in October in California compared with the same period a year ago (www.car.org)
- Foreclosures spike as housing market slows -- In San Joaquin County 1,809 homes entered some stage of foreclosure during October (www.lodinews.com)
- O.C. house prices fall for third month -- The California Association of Realtors reported that the median price of a single-family home here was down 2.9 percent in October. (www.ocregister.com)
- Biggest drop ever in home prices -- Existing home sales rise for the first time in eight months, in part because of falling prices. Durable goods orders show a big drop. Stocks move up modestly. An upgrade boosts Apple, but Palm and Nokia tumble on profit warnings. (articles.moneycentral.msn.com)
- Affordability for first-time home buyers across California improved slightly in the third quarter from the previous three-month period, but fell 4 percentage points from a year earlier, a trade association said Monday. (www.dailynews.com)
- Home prices post record drop in October -- Median price sinks 3.5 percent from a year earlier, trade group see more price declines ahead. (money.cnn.com)
- Local home prices showed signs of 'stabilizing' in October, the Massachusetts Association of Realtors said today. (www.boston.com)
- Sales of existing single-family homes in New York state dropped slightly more than seven percent last month when compared to October 2005, according to preliminary single-family sales data accumulated by the New York State Association of Realtors. (www.littlefallstimes.com)
- Massachusetts home sales fell by double-digit percentages in October, and the median sale price of single-family homes dropped 6.9 percent compared to October 2005 -- according to a report released today by The Warren Group. (home.businesswire.com)
- Just 22% can afford O.C. starter home -- That's down from last year, but up from the spring, according to Realtors index. Buyers would need to make $123,800 a year. (www.ocregister.com)
- In a report released today by the Massachusetts Association of Realtors (MAR), current trends indicate that the market may be correcting itself, thanks to competitive mortgage rates and the pending winter season when home availability typically drops. (wbjournal.com)
- Conforming loan limit unchanged at $417,000 -- Drop in October's year-over-year average house price prompts OFHEO to hold (www.marketwatch.com)
- The pace of home sales in Florida continued to slow in October, though some markets report that the inventory of homes available for sale also eased last month. (media.living.net)
- Fannie Mae, the largest U.S. home funding company, said on Tuesday its mortgage portfolio shrank at a 7.3 percent annual rate in October to $720.9 billion. (today.teuters.com)
- Sales of existing homes posted a tiny increase in October but the median home price fell by a record amount. Analysts forecast more price declines in coming months as the once-booming housing market undergoes a painful correction. (biz.yahoo.com)
- Massachusetts single-family home sales dropped 14.9 percent on a volume basis in October, and the October median sale price of a single-family home in the Bay State fell 6.9 percent, to $312,000 from $335,000, when compared to the same month last year, a real-estate data firm said today. (www.boston.com)
- As the market slows down and the stock of unsold homes piles up, builders are emptying bags of cash onto their granite kitchen counters (now standard, at no extra cost) in an attempt to lure wary buyers. (www.recordonline.com)